Oil Falls as U.S. Crude Enters 'Bear Market'

By Christopher Johnson
Friday, November 9, 2018

Oil prices fell to multi-month lows on Friday as global supply increased and investors worried about the impact on fuel demand of lower economic growth and trade disputes.

Benchmark Brent crude fell below $70 a barrel for the first time since early April, down more than 18 percent since reaching four-year highs at the beginning of October.

Brent dropped $1.52 to a low of $69.13 before recovering to around $69.55 by 1430 GMT, down 4.5 percent for the week and 16 percent this quarter.

U.S. light crude fell for a 10th successive day, dropping under $60 a barrel to its lowest in eight months. The U.S. crude contract hit a low of $59.28, down $1.39 and off more than 20 percent since its peak in October. That put it in "bear market" territory, borrowing a definition used in stock markets.

"Oil prices are being hit by the double whammy of rising supplies and demand concerns," Interfax Europe analyst Abhishek Kumar said.

Oil peaked in October on concerns that U.S. sanctions on Iran that came into force this week would deprive the oil market of substantial volumes of crude, draining inventories and bringing shortages in some regions.

But other big producers, such as Saudi Arabia, Russia and shale companies in the United States, have increased output steadily, more than compensating for lost Iranian barrels.

The United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia are pumping at or near record highs, producing more than 33 million barrels per day (bpd), a third of the world's oil.

The U.S. sanctions, meanwhile, are unlikely to cut supply as much as expected. Washington has granted exemptions to Iran's biggest buyers, allowing them to buy limited amounts of oil for at least another six months.

China National Petroleum Corp said it was still taking oil from Iranian fields in which it has stakes.

Washington has said it wants to force Iranian oil exports down to zero, but Bernstein Energy now expects "Iranian exports will average 1.4 million to 1.5 million bpd" during the exemption period, about half the volume in mid-2018.

"As OPEC exports continue to rise, inventories continue to build, which is putting downward pressure on oil prices," Bernstein said. "A slowdown in the global economy remains the key downside risk to oil."

A glut in the refining sector, where a wave of unsold gasoline has pulled profit margins into negative territory, may also lead to a slowdown in new crude orders as refiners scale back operations.

(Reuters, Reporting by Christopher Johnson in London and Henning Gloystein in Singapore; Editing by Dale Hudson and Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

Categories: Middle East Finance Offshore Energy Shale Oil & Gas

Related Stories

Floating Nuclear: A New Offshore Energy Frontier

Markets: Oil Majors Reload Exploration Hoppers Across Sub-Saharan Africa

Oman Opens Alternative Hormuz Lanes as Shipping Recovery Continues

Explosion at Qatar's Ras Laffan LNG Hub Injures 54, Leaves 18 Missing

Oil Holds Steady as Markets Assess Renewed US-Iran Hostilities

Kuwait Sees 70% Oil Output Recovery within Two Months of Hormuz Reopening

Oil Jumps Over 3% After US-Iran Exchange Attacks

Mitsui Eyes New LNG Investments to Power Data Center Growth

Oil Prices Fall Amid Signs of US-Iran Ceasefire Extension Deal

Oil Prices Rise as Iran Talks Stall and Inventories Shrink

Current News

Floating Nuclear: A New Offshore Energy Frontier

Markets: Oil Majors Reload Exploration Hoppers Across Sub-Saharan Africa

ONGC Completes 44 Offshore Rig Moves Ahead of Monsoon Season

ONGC Expands BP Partnership with Western Offshore Basin Services Contract

Walking Into the Future: ADNOC Drilling Unveils First AI-Powered Island Rig

Yinson Production Names FSO for Murphy's Lac Da Vang Project off Vietnam

Jadestone Brings First Malaysia Campaign Well Online at 3,000 bpd

Saipem to Sell Saudi Shallow-Water Drilling Business to ADES for $285M

Oman Opens Alternative Hormuz Lanes as Shipping Recovery Continues

ASCO Sets Up Shop in Qatar to Drive Middle East Expansion

Subscribe for AOG Digital E‑News

AOG Digital E-News is the subsea industry's largest circulation and most authoritative ENews Service, delivered to your Email three times per week

https://accounts.newwavemedia.com