Oil Rises Towards $77 After Slide, Demand Outlook Weighs

Posted by Michelle Howard
Wednesday, October 24, 2018

Oil rose towards $77 a barrel on Wednesday after hitting a two-month low as the focus returned to looming U.S. sanctions on oil exporter Iran, although concern about a weaker demand outlook weighed.

In a sign Iranian exports will drop further once the sanctions take effect on Nov. 4, two people with direct knowledge of the matter said two Chinese state-owned refiners were not planning to load Iranian oil for November.

Brent crude, the global benchmark, was up 52 cents at $76.96 a barrel at 1325 GMT. It fell earlier in the day to $75.11, the lowest since Aug. 24. U.S. crude, known as WTI, was up 65 cents at $67.08.

"While in the near-term prices are at risk from any further supply disruption, oil should trend lower heading into 2019 as slowing emerging market demand growth and the shale boom restore the oil market's supply cushion," said Norbert Ruecker, head of macro and commodity research at Swiss bank Julius Baer.

Crude fell sharply on Tuesday, with Brent closing down 4.3 percent on growing concern about a weaker outlook for economic growth and demand, and easing supply worries.

"With geopolitical risk factors raising concerns over global instability and other external uncertainties risking demand for oil to take a hit, it would not be a surprise if WTI and Brent Crude hold onto their recent losses," said Lukman Otunuga, an analyst at futures brokerage FXTM.

Industry group the American Petroleum Institute said on Tuesday U.S. crude stocks had risen by 9.9 million barrels - more than forecast. The U.S. government's supply report is due at 1430 GMT.

A sell-off in equities due to concern about the economic outlook weighed on crude on Tuesday and world stocks remained under pressure on Wednesday.

Forecasters such as the International Energy Agency already expect slower oil-demand growth for 2019 due to a weaker economy.

While U.S. sanctions on Iran are expected to tighten supplies, other producers, notably top exporter Saudi Arabia, are willing to increase supply further if needed.

Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said on Tuesday that Saudi Arabia would step up to "meet any demand that materialises to ensure customers are satisfied".

Some analysts say nonetheless that prices could rebound before the end of the year.

"We still see Brent reaching $85 per barrel by year-end," said U.S. bank Morgan Stanley.

By Alex Lawler, Additional reporting by Henning Gloystein

Categories: Middle East Shale Oil & Gas

Related Stories

Korea's Hanhwa Sets Out Plan for Full Takeover of Singapore's Dyna-Mac

ADNOC Signs 15-Year LNG Supply Deal with Indian Oil

Allseas Hooks $180M Pipeline Installation Job Offshore Philippines

Santos Pens Mid-Term LNG Supply Deal

New Partner Joins Timor-Leste Offshore Gas Development

Transocean Scoops $123M Drillship Deal in India

CNOOC Brings Online Another South China Sea Field

Indonesia Green Lights Eni Gas Projects

Jadestone Energy Secures Four Shallow Water Fields Offshore Malaysia

South Korea's KOMIPO Cancels Plans for LNG Import Terminal

Current News

Velesto Completes Removal of Wrecked Naga 7 Jack-Up Rig Off Malaysia

BP Greenlights $7B CCUS Scheme Tied to Indonesia LNG Facility

Sapura Scoops Petrobras Contract for Pan-Malaysia Offshore Services

Velesto’s Drilling Rigs Up for Automatization Overhaul Under New Tech Alliance

US Firm Finds Chinese Partner to Deliver Mobile Offshore Drilling Units

TotalEnergies and Oil India to Jointly Tackle Methane Emissions Issues

Keppel Reclaiming Control of 13 Rigs to Cash In on Offshore Drilling Market's Growth

Global Offshore Wind Stumbles to the End of '24

Seatrium Delivers Fifth Jack-Up to Borr Drilling

Malaysia's FPSO Firm Bumi Armada Eyes Merger with MISC’s Offshore Unit

Subscribe for AOG Digital E‑News

AOG Digital E-News is the subsea industry's largest circulation and most authoritative ENews Service, delivered to your Email three times per week

https://accounts.newwavemedia.com