Oil Rises Towards $77 After Slide, Demand Outlook Weighs

Posted by Michelle Howard
Wednesday, October 24, 2018

Oil rose towards $77 a barrel on Wednesday after hitting a two-month low as the focus returned to looming U.S. sanctions on oil exporter Iran, although concern about a weaker demand outlook weighed.

In a sign Iranian exports will drop further once the sanctions take effect on Nov. 4, two people with direct knowledge of the matter said two Chinese state-owned refiners were not planning to load Iranian oil for November.

Brent crude, the global benchmark, was up 52 cents at $76.96 a barrel at 1325 GMT. It fell earlier in the day to $75.11, the lowest since Aug. 24. U.S. crude, known as WTI, was up 65 cents at $67.08.

"While in the near-term prices are at risk from any further supply disruption, oil should trend lower heading into 2019 as slowing emerging market demand growth and the shale boom restore the oil market's supply cushion," said Norbert Ruecker, head of macro and commodity research at Swiss bank Julius Baer.

Crude fell sharply on Tuesday, with Brent closing down 4.3 percent on growing concern about a weaker outlook for economic growth and demand, and easing supply worries.

"With geopolitical risk factors raising concerns over global instability and other external uncertainties risking demand for oil to take a hit, it would not be a surprise if WTI and Brent Crude hold onto their recent losses," said Lukman Otunuga, an analyst at futures brokerage FXTM.

Industry group the American Petroleum Institute said on Tuesday U.S. crude stocks had risen by 9.9 million barrels - more than forecast. The U.S. government's supply report is due at 1430 GMT.

A sell-off in equities due to concern about the economic outlook weighed on crude on Tuesday and world stocks remained under pressure on Wednesday.

Forecasters such as the International Energy Agency already expect slower oil-demand growth for 2019 due to a weaker economy.

While U.S. sanctions on Iran are expected to tighten supplies, other producers, notably top exporter Saudi Arabia, are willing to increase supply further if needed.

Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said on Tuesday that Saudi Arabia would step up to "meet any demand that materialises to ensure customers are satisfied".

Some analysts say nonetheless that prices could rebound before the end of the year.

"We still see Brent reaching $85 per barrel by year-end," said U.S. bank Morgan Stanley.

By Alex Lawler, Additional reporting by Henning Gloystein

Categories: Middle East Shale Oil & Gas

Related Stories

China's ENN, Zhenhua Oil Ink LNG Supply Deals with ADNOC

India Stretches Bids Deadline for 13 Offshore Deep-Sea Mineral Blocks

Sapura Energy Nets $720M from Multiple Drilling Services Contracts

Shell Predicts 60% Rise in LNG Demand by 2040 with Asia Leading the Way

Six New Gas Wells in Line for BP’s Shah Deniz Field in Caspian Sea

ADNOC Secures LNG Supply Deal with India's BPCL

Japan's Mitsui Eyes Alaska LNG Project

Santos Hires Weststar-GAP for Timor-Leste Offshore Helicopter Services

EnQuest to Acquire Harbour Energy's Vietnamese Assets

Abu Dhabi's NMDC Group Gets $1.1B Subsea Gas Pipeline Job in Taiwan

Current News

ADNOC’s XRG Partnres Up with Petronas for Offshore Gas Block in Caspian Sea

Valeura Energy Greenlights Wassana Oil Field Redevelopment off Thailand

Scarborough FPU's Topsides and Hull Come Together in Major Engineering Feat (Video)

Shell-Reliance-ONGC JV Complete India’s First Offshore Decom Project

The Future of Long-Idle Drillships: Cold-Stacked or Dead-Stacked?

TMC Books Compressors Orders for FPSO and LNG Vessels

MODEC, Sumitomo Partner Up for Delivery of Gato do Mato FPSO

Chuditch Gas Field Up for Summer Drilling Ops as Sunda Reshapes Ownership Structure

EnQuest Bags Two Production Sharing Contracts off Indonesia

Hanwha Drilling’s Tidal Action Drillship En Route to Petrobras’ Roncador Field

Subscribe for AOG Digital E‑News

AOG Digital E-News is the subsea industry's largest circulation and most authoritative ENews Service, delivered to your Email three times per week

https://accounts.newwavemedia.com