Oil Falls on Weaker Economic Outlook, U.S. Stocks Rise

Posted by Michelle Howard
Wednesday, August 15, 2018

A weaker global economic growth outlook and a report of rising U.S. crude inventories weighed on oil prices on Wednesday, even as U.S. sanctions threatened to curb Iranian crude supplies.

Benchmark Brent crude oil was down 60 cents a barrel at $71.86 by 1325 GMT. U.S. light crude fell $1.02 a barrel to a low of $66.02, before recovering slightly to around $66.30, down 74 cents.

"Oil bears are taking their turn in the driving seat," said Stephen Brennock, analyst at London broker PVM Oil Associates.

"Adding to the weakening price backdrop are signs that a deepening trade spat between the United States and China is undermining oil demand."

U.S. crude stocks rose by 3.7 million barrels in the week to Aug. 10, to 410.8 million barrels, private industry group the American Petroleum Institute (API) said on Tuesday. Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub rose by 1.6 million barrels, the API said.

Official U.S. oil inventory data was due to be published later on Wednesday by the Energy Information Administration.

Investors are concerned by the health of the world economy at a time of escalating trade disputes between the United States and its major trading partners.

The OECD's composite leading indicator, which covers the western advanced economies plus China, India, Russia, Brazil, Indonesia and South Africa, peaked in January but has since fallen and slipped below trend in May and June.

World trade volume growth also peaked in January at almost 5.7 percent year-on-year, but nearly halved to less than 3 percent by May, according to the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.

The United States and China have been locked in a tit-for-tat trade spat for a few months, gradually adding tariffs to each others' products in a dispute that threatens to curb economic activity in both countries.

Chinese oil importers now appear to be shying away from buying U.S. crude oil as they fear Beijing may decide to add the commodity to its tariff list.

Not a single tanker has loaded crude oil from the United States bound for China since the start of August, Thomson Reuters Eikon ship tracking data showed, compared with about 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) in June and July.

Meanwhile, investors are watching the impact of U.S. sanctions on Tehran, which analysts say could remove as much as 1 million bpd of Iranian crude from the market by next year.

BMI Research said oil markets would "struggle for direction, as uncertainty around both the impact on supply from the Iranian sanctions and escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China persists".

Reporting by Christopher Johnson in LONDON and Henning Gloystein in SINGAPORE Editing by Alexandra Hudson/Emelia Sithole-Matarise/Alexander Smith

Categories: Government Update Middle East Shale Oil & Gas

Related Stories

Masirah Oil Starts Yumna Offshore Drilling Ops After Months of Delays

Riyadh Attacks Disrupt Oil Majors' Summit Plans

Oil Climbs on US Storm Threat, Saudi Attack Risks

KBR to Support Aramco’s Marjan Offshore Field Upgrade

LNG Flows Through Hormuz Hit Seven-Month High

Arabian Drilling Inks $533M Deal for Four Jack-Up Drilling Rigs

Iran Restores Half of Damaged South Pars Gas Field Capacity

QatarEnergy's LNG Expansion Faces Delays from Hormuz Crisis

XRG, ADNOC and SEFE Deepen Gas Ties in Europe

Iran Outlines Terms for Restoring Hormuz Shipping

Current News

TotalEnergies Inks 15-Year LNG Supply Deal with China's Jiangsu Guoxin

Baker Hughes Sets Up Global Network to Bolster Mature Oil and Gas Fields Production

Valaris Secures $600M in New Contracts as Backlog Rises to $4.8B

Production Restart at Australian Offshore Fields Boosts Jadestone's Oil Output

Aramco Targets Hormuz Bypass with East-West Pipeline Expansion

ADES Lands New Offshore Drilling Rig Deals in Angola and Indonesia

Shell to Exit Australia's North West Shelf Project in $1.45B Deal with XRG

Aramco Third Quarter Profit Up 35% Despite War Disruptions

Eni, Petronas JV Brings Indonesian Offshore Gas Field Online

CNOOC Set to Restore Production at Major South China Sea Gas Field

Subscribe for AOG Digital E‑News

AOG Digital E-News is the subsea industry's largest circulation and most authoritative ENews Service, delivered to your Email three times per week

https://accounts.newwavemedia.com