Asia's Gasoline Glut Drags on Refining Margins

Posted by Joseph Keefe
Friday, April 20, 2018
Asia's gasoline crack on Thursday hit lowest since 2016; recent high refinery throughput countered maintenance season.
Gasoline profits for Asia's oil refiners hit their lowest since 2016, while refining margins have touched a three-month low, pulled down by high crude oil prices and an oversupply of fuel.
The slump in profit margins comes as prices for crude oil , which is the most important feedstock for refiners in Asia, hit their highest since late 2014 of almost $75 per barrel.
The recent high refinery activity in Europe and Asia caused gasoline inventories to swell to record highs in late March, forcing traders to charter tankers in order to store excess fuel offshore as space on land runs low.
Refineries in China processed a record volume of 51.51 million tonnes of crude in March.
Average refinery profits in Singapore , which act as an Asian benchmark, are down by half from their 2017 highs, to $5.69 a barrel, weighed down by rising crude oil feedstock prices.
Asia's gasoline profit margins, known as crack, based on Brent crude oil dived to $5.42 a barrel, the lowest since Aug. 24, 2016. "Margins are getting smashed," said Nevyn Nah, oil products analyst at Energy Aspects in Singapore.
"This could potentially hurt crude-buying appetite this summer," he added.
When measured against Dubai crude , the average gasoline crack from April 2-19 was 21.4 percent lower versus the same period last year.
One of the reasons for the fuel glut is soaring Chinese exports.
"We see reasonably robust demand in most of the emerging countries in Asia, but Chinese exports continue to be a drag," said Sri Paravaikkarasu of consulting firm FGE.
"Although Chinese exports have moderated somewhat now and will remain relatively low in May on account of refinery turnarounds, a surge (in exports) is inevitable in the subsequent months."
The weak gasoline fundamentals also affected naphtha as it is used as a blending component for petrol, but traders were hoping that summer demand would help ease the oversupply.
This week, only two 60,000-tonne tankers were storing gasoline off the coast of northwest Europe, down from as much as 400,000 tonnes of floating storage earlier this month, according to traders.
"All in all, it should be a weak start to the summer but as Atlantic Basin pulls out from the glut, we should see a recovery," said Paravaikkarasu.
Middle distillates, comprising diesel and jet fuel, could also serve as buffers and prevent Asia's refining margins from being hit any further.
Demand for jet fuel, seen especially strong India, kept the average crack level for April 2-19 this year around $15.70 a barrel, up 36 percent versus the same period last year.

Reporting by Seng Li Peng 

Categories: Contracts Energy Finance Fuels & Lubes Logistics

Related Stories

Eni Makes Significant Gas Discovery Offshore Indonesia

Japan’s JERA Signs First Long-Term LNG Deal with India’s Torrent Power

India's ONGC Set to Retain 20% stake in Russia's Sakhalin-1 Project

BP Hires Seatrium to Deliver Tiber FPU in Gulf of America

Russia Seeks to Boost Oil Exports to China as Sanctions Tighten

Sponsored: Record Deals and Record Attendance Underscore ADIPEC’s Global Impact

Sponsored: Energy and Finance Chiefs Call for Sound Policy, Stable Frameworks at ADIPEC

Major Oil and Gas Projects Drive Strong OSV Demand in the Middle East

Propane’s Economic Edge for Ports During Trade Uncertainty

Norwegian Oil Investment Will Peak in '25

Current News

Eni Makes Significant Gas Discovery Offshore Indonesia

Petronas Enlists MISC for FPU Job at Gas Field Offshore Brunei

Japan’s JERA Signs First Long-Term LNG Deal with India’s Torrent Power

India's ONGC Set to Retain 20% stake in Russia's Sakhalin-1 Project

Harbour Energy to Sell Stakes in Indonesian Assets to Prime Group for $215M

Eni Expands Asian Footprint with Long-Term LNG Contract in Thailand

Finder Energy Buys Petrojarl I FPSO for Timor-Leste Oil and Gas Projects

CNOOC Puts New South China Sea Development Into Production Mode

ADES Nets $63M Contract for Compact Driller Jack-Up off Brunei

Mubadala Energy, PLN Energy Primer Team Up for Andaman Sea Gas Supply

Subscribe for AOG Digital E‑News

AOG Digital E-News is the subsea industry's largest circulation and most authoritative ENews Service, delivered to your Email three times per week

https://accounts.newwavemedia.com