Oil Edges Lower as Libyan Output Undermines 2018 Rally

Posted by Joseph Keefe
Monday, January 22, 2018
Restarting Libyan oilfield puts brake on rally.
Oil slipped on Monday under pressure from rising Libyan output and concerns that a rally that had sent prices to their highest since December 2014 had run out of steam.
But losses were limited by comments from top exporter Saudi Arabia that OPEC and other producers would continue to cooperate on their oil cuts beyond 2018 and prices also found some support from strong economic growth that underpinned demand.
Brent crude slipped 7 cents to $68.54 a barrel at 1215 GMT, reversing course after earlier modest gains. Brent had hit $70.37 on Jan. 15, the highest since December 2014.
U.S. crude slipped 3 cents to $63.34, having also hit its highest since December 2014 last week.
PVM analyst Tamas Varga said resumption of output from Libya's As-Sarah was "serving as a brake on the rally".
"The downside might be limited but last week's highs are unlikely to be penetrated unless there is a significant bullish change on the supply front," he said in a report.
Production at As-Sarah resumed on Sunday and was expected to add 55,000 barrels per day (bpd) by Monday.
Brent is particularly sensitive to changes in output from Libya, as most Libyan crude is priced against Brent.
Saudi Arabia said on Sunday the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies had agreed to continue cooperating on production after their deal on supply cuts expires at the end of 2018. The deal began in January 2017.
Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said rebalancing the market might not take place until 2019, suggesting it would take longer than OPEC has previously indicated.
Bernstein Energy said oil inventories might start rising soon due to a slowdown in demand that typically happens at the end of the northern hemisphere winter.
But a drop in the number of U.S. drilling rigs, an indicator of future output, offered some support. U.S. drillers cut five rigs in the week to Jan. 19, reducing the count to 747.

Global economic growth was also helping prices by driving up demand. "Global growth has become synchronised and accelerated above trend," U.S. bank Morgan Stanley said in a note. 

By Julia Payne and Alex Lawler

Categories: Contracts Finance Energy Middle East

Related Stories

AI & Offshore Energy: The Higher the Stakes, the More Value AI Creates

CRC Evans Secures Work at Qatar’s Largest Offshore Oil Field

MCDermott Gets Pipelines and Cables Job at Qatar's Giant Gas Field

Shelf Drilling Finalizes Baltic Rig Sale

First Oil Starts Flowing at CNOOC’s South China Sea Field

Santos Pens Mid-Term LNG Supply Deal

1.1 GW Floating Offshore Wind Farm earns Key Approval

CNOOC Posts Record Interim Profit

North Sea Realism in a Busy Market

Izomax Wins a Milestone Contract with Shell

Current News

Offshore Service Vessels: What’s in Store in 2025

ABS Approves Hanwha Ocean’s FPSO Design

AI & Offshore Energy: The Higher the Stakes, the More Value AI Creates

Floating LNG Conversion Job Slips Out of Seatrium’s Hands

Transocean’s Drillship to Stay in India Under New $111M Deal

INEOS Picks Up CNOOC’s US Assets in $2B Deal

Sunda Energy, Timor-Leste Gov Plan Accelerated Chuditch Gas Development

RINA to Conduct Pre-FEED Study for Petronas’ CCS Project in Malaysia

TotalEnergies Wraps Up Acquisition of SapuraOMV’s Gas Assets

Kuwaiti Oil and Gas Firm Exploring More Opportunities in Indonesia's Natuna Sea

Subscribe for AOG Digital E‑News

AOG Digital E-News is the subsea industry's largest circulation and most authoritative ENews Service, delivered to your Email three times per week

https://accounts.newwavemedia.com